NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c0d1dcf14613ee805ea2f5259933cd2d9c3b75fb018e2c50c5e58196b8db26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfb9…2396backed Hornets | 53c | 22,000$11,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,660 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…13d0backed Clippers | 47c | 22,000$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Clippers | 44c | 14,232$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,969.85 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 56c | 14,024$7,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,795.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 56c | 9,910$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Clippers | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…e970backed Hornets | 53c | 8,500$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 44c | 5,400$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Clippers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hornets | 53c | 2,793$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.45 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 56c | 1,920$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Hornets | 53c | 1,141$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Clippers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Clippers | 45c | 931.67$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.33 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Clippers | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 45c | 435.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…2348backed Clippers | 47c | 429.79$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 54c | 408.7$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 44c | 404.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Hornets | 56c | 400$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Hornets | 56c | 359.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc10…37ebbacked Hornets | 55c | 250$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Clippers | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Clippers | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Clippers | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Hornets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143a…9a1fbacked Clippers | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Hornets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 47c | 113.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…8e45backed Hornets | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Hornets | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Hornets | 57c | 96.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clippers | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Hornets | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Clippers | 49c | 51.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…dcf4backed Hornets | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Hornets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Hornets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Clippers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…55d3backed Hornets | 55c | 40.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f8…adb6backed Hornets | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Hornets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Clippers | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Hornets | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Hornets | 56c | 31.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…a6f1backed Hornets | 53c | 27.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Hornets | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Hornets | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d9…a37cbacked Clippers | 49c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hornets | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Clippers | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…9495backed Clippers | 49c | 21.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Hornets | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…9660backed Hornets | 53c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Hornets | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Hornets | 56c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…9b80backed Hornets | 53c | 19.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)this page
- Clippers vs. HornetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.