NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1570796e15ecb367759040a71a72fe647d1f82dace4f0f8f7575a81043049ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 51c | 35,401$18,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,085.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Clippers | 50c | 15,586$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,793.22 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Clippers | 48c | 15,010$7,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,755.1 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 47c | 11,280$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.4 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 53c | 4,709$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 52c | 3,276$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 50c | 2,678$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Clippers | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…a2a9backed Hornets | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…8e43backed Hornets | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3f64backed Clippers | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Hornets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Clippers | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 50c | 702.39$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 47c | 671.46$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Hornets | 51c | 349.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…e0efbacked Clippers | 49c | 349.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets | 51c | 301$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Clippers | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Hornets | 52c | 188.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 51c | 175.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Hornets | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Hornets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 50c | 104.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Clippers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Clippers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Hornets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Clippers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Hornets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clippers | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Hornets | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Clippers | 52c | 33.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Hornets | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Hornets | 51c | 28.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Hornets | 50c | 25.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)this page
- Clippers vs. HornetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.