TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes62c6,888$4,249 inWon+$2,638.81917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Yes16c5,952$940 inWon+$5,011.921030%3 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+168.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No44c4,724$2,072 inLost-$2,071.843444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No25c2,311$582 inLost-$581.754748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked No4c2,065$83 inLost-$82.62425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed No7c960$68 inLost-$67.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No14c718$99 inLost-$98.653545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No12c568$68 inLost-$68.413411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No40c489.46$194 inLost-$194.078756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No29c430$125 inLost-$124.773525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No32c411.47$133 inLost-$133.463360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No32c401.39$128 inLost-$128.214065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No37c351.24$130 inLost-$129.771464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No31c335$103 inLost-$102.912454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No38c321.85$122 inLost-$121.77062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No37c275.27$102 inLost-$101.876958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa403…9cabbacked No41c212$87 inLost-$86.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes8c200$16 inWon+$1843429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+87.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed No36c172.35$62 inLost-$61.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes70c161.77$113 inWon+$48.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4986…8bc9backed No7c150$10 inLost-$10.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No63c145$91 inLost-$91.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No30c96.2$29 inLost-$29.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c88$14 inWon+$73.834520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f0…8a69backed Yes31c63.49$20 inWon+$43.491330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed No50c50$25 inLost-$24.752236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.