MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd71cac5d0b2abef44d8b8c06ac23bf9ba021c2ae702ef4d10a071838215af9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 58c | 50,000$29,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,100 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 42c | 29,768$12,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,265.44 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 42c | 20,000$8,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,686.67 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 1c | 13,876$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…ab2fbacked Phillies | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.96 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 59c | 3,985$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals | 41c | 3,594$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.66 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 17c | 2,905$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.36 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 8c | 1,768$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 67c | 1,534$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.9 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 58c | 1,455$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.44 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Royals | 41c | 1,413$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Royals | 22c | 1,329$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.57 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Phillies | 58c | 1,236$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.05 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 77c | 941.66$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 42c | 884$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Phillies | 4c | 840.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Royals | 42c | 785.79$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.76 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 42c | 775.24$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 60c | 769$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.71 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Phillies | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 59c | 677$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Phillies | 59c | 644$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Phillies | 2c | 597.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Royals | 42c | 416.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Phillies | 58c | 405$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 58c | 404$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Phillies | 58c | 388.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 58c | 374$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 56c | 368.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Phillies | 72c | 277.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 56c | 273.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…0b66backed Phillies | 59c | 269.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 43c | 266.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Royals | 43c | 251.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Phillies | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phillies | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Royals | 42c | 237.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Phillies | 59c | 216$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 59c | 208.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Phillies | 59c | 200.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…f029backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6f…4119backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…feaebacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…854bbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…eda6backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4623backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…91ddbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bc…b2c0backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…6d8abacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57b…da2ebacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…f109backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…4cedbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaecb…15b4backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…d3ecbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…e4d0backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…646cbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…1c9abacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…8af7backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8574…df83backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…0188backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2574…9e78backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fec…a7b4backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…092ebacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…5167backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…5addbacked Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…6458backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…9c5cbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Philliesthis page
- Royals vs. Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.