College Football · resolved market
Fresno State vs. Oregon State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679407265b967337429603c8139734866800df1740018010b81bb3933ff66698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno Stateof Fresno State, Oregon State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oregon State | 48c | 87,529$41,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,688.91 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Fresno State | 53c | 79,013$41,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,210.54 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Oregon State | 52c | 39,029$20,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,283.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Fresno State | 57c | 23,171$13,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,071.59 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Fresno State | 48c | 22,636$10,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,761.07 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Fresno State | 52c | 18,223$9,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,817.32 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oregon State | 41c | 17,574$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,228.89 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oregon State | 47c | 13,817$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.57 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Oregon State | 49c | 13,481$6,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,601.7 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fresno State | 46c | 11,424$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.69 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Fresno State | 50c | 10,334$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Oregon State | 54c | 9,879$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.66 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Fresno State | 51c | 9,339$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oregon State | 52c | 7,498$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.96 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fresno State | 61c | 5,702$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.61 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Fresno State | 56c | 5,360$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.11 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…aa7bbacked Oregon State | 6c | 5,351$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Fresno State | 48c | 4,768$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.12 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fresno State | 56c | 3,521$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.02 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Oregon State | 21c | 2,981$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.63 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Oregon State | 46c | 2,460$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Fresno State | 49c | 2,275$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.64 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Fresno State | 50c | 2,256$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.16 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fresno State | 56c | 1,883$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.53 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Oregon State | 36c | 1,564$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.95 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Oregon State | 32c | 1,500$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.24 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oregon State | 2c | 1,399$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Oregon State | 50c | 1,361$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.32 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Fresno State | 49c | 1,344$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.04 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Oregon State | 57c | 1,329$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.39 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fresno State | 58c | 1,280$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.74 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Fresno State | 66c | 1,256$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Oregon State | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oregon State | 55c | 886.03$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.01 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Fresno State | 54c | 874.4$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.91 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oregon State | 55c | 825.68$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.12 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fresno State | 56c | 638$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.39 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oregon State | 55c | 528$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Oregon State | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Oregon State | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Oregon State | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Fresno State | 50c | 479.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Oregon State | 3c | 431$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Oregon State | 52c | 423.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Fresno State | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fresno State | 47c | 401.89$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Oregon State | 48c | 335.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…f652backed Oregon State | 57c | 320.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Oregon State | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0fddbacked Oregon State | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Fresno State | 48c | 262$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oregon State | 44c | 228.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fresno State | 73c | 216$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Fresno State | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fresno State | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Oregon State | 53c | 199.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Oregon State | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…ec6fbacked Oregon State | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Oregon State | 28c | 152.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Oregon State | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Fresno State | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Oregon State | 21c | 139.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Oregon State | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Oregon State | 39c | 120.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Fresno State | 78c | 117.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fresno State | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…1e28backed Fresno State | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Fresno State | 48c | 102.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Oregon State | 53c | 100.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Fresno State | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Oregon State | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Fresno State | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…aa77backed Oregon State | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…c306backed Fresno State | 47c | 73.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Fresno State | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Oregon State | 51c | 68.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Oregon State | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Oregon State | 50c | 63.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Fresno State | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Oregon State | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fresno State | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Fresno State | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…dccbbacked Oregon State | 55c | 47.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Fresno State | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Oregon State | 53c | 41.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…b258backed Fresno State | 59c | 41.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Oregon State | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…19f2backed Fresno State | 58c | 39.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Fresno State | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Oregon State | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Oregon State | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Oregon State | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Oregon State | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Oregon State | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Fresno State | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fresno State | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…327dbacked Oregon State | 55c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Fresno State | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Oregon State | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…924ebacked Fresno State | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.