College Football · resolved market
UTEP vs. Utah State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd766be5f71ea8b8ad912b827ce9e58c3ba4809c617dce5eb9040a3da8ba34afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Stateof UTEP, Utah State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah State | 70c | 11,769$8,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.29 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked UTEP | 30c | 4,114$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed UTEP | 43c | 3,445$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.48 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UTEP | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.96 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed UTEP | 33c | 1,688$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed UTEP | 28c | 1,679$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.94 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Utah State | 66c | 839.62$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.47 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Utah State | 68c | 814.69$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked UTEP | 34c | 736.86$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Utah State | 69c | 633.31$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Utah State | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UTEP | 33c | 337.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed UTEP | 32c | 299.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Utah State | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UTEP | 30c | 286.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Utah State | 66c | 268.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State | 77c | 207.41$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UTEP | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Utah State | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…fa7abacked Utah State | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…eab4backed Utah State | 68c | 113.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Utah State | 66c | 101.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State | 67c | 101.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Utah State | 64c | 101.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UTEP | 31c | 94.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UTEP | 32c | 89.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed UTEP | 22c | 86.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Utah State | 68c | 80.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UTEP | 43c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Utah State | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked UTEP | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed UTEP | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Utah State | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.