MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21fa9859457c4225c4c953fc1f569456d725d3048bcae881b139a18dd0b45fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Astros, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves | 46c | 216,364$99,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,009.2 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 54c | 78,721$42,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,509.13 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 54c | 74,621$40,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,299.94 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Braves | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 54c | 21,509$11,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,615.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Astros | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Braves | 50c | 6,490$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.24 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Astros | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Astros | 32c | 4,000$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.95 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Astros | 55c | 3,807$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.1 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Braves | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.62 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 55c | 3,275$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 47c | 2,596$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.03 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Astros | 50c | 2,380$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.83 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 55c | 2,202$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 6c | 2,001$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Astros | 56c | 1,908$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.48 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 56c | 1,552$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.12 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 54c | 1,526$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 24c | 1,507$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Astros | 56c | 1,454$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.36 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 54c | 1,115$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.93 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Braves | 45c | 1,009$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Astros | 15c | 834.55$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 45c | 723.56$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.96 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Astros | 56c | 718.98$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 56c | 714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 55c | 690$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Astros | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 55c | 599$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.45 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 36c | 583.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Astros | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Astros | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 54c | 500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 56c | 416.87$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 35c | 375.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 55c | 340$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Astros | 50c | 299.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 36c | 292.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked Braves | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 50c | 278.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 7c | 269$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Astros | 53c | 261.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 55c | 259.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Braves | 44c | 257.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 56c | 251.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Braves | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Astros | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 56c | 219.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Astros | 55c | 217.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Astros | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…f029backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6f…4119backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…feaebacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…854bbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…eda6backed Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4623backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…91ddbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…6d8abacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57b…da2ebacked Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…f109backed Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…4cedbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…d3ecbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…e4d0backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…646cbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…1c9abacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…8af7backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8574…df83backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…278ebacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Bravesthis page
- Astros vs. Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Astros (-1.5)Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.