College Football · resolved market
Temple vs. UMass
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffeccacdf3ea242c90e465a7c417125fae1990857fc27da9b80d65936f547123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Templeof Temple, UMass
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfecb…19babacked UMass | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.61 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Temple | 56c | 3,564$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UMass | 3c | 3,501$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Temple | 52c | 2,070$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.84 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed UMass | 48c | 1,826$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.99 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UMass | 45c | 1,357$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.1 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UMass | 2c | 831.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UMass | 30c | 830$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Temple | 51c | 751.29$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.13 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Temple | 53c | 744.64$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Temple | 51c | 645.04$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed UMass | 45c | 533.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed UMass | 21c | 495.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Temple | 73c | 448.62$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed UMass | 6c | 382.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UMass | 43c | 358.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UMass | 29c | 348.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UMass | 27c | 338.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMass | 6c | 305$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Temple | 52c | 217.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Temple | 53c | 215.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Temple | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UMass | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Temple | 55c | 198.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Temple | 52c | 179.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Temple | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed UMass | 47c | 126.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Temple | 54c | 121.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Temple | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Temple | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…eab4backed UMass | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked UMass | 70c | 75.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…1934backed Temple | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Temple | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed UMass | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked UMass | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Temple | 56c | 46.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed UMass | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked UMass | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Temple | 54c | 39.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…13fcbacked Temple | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Temple | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Temple | 56c | 35.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Temple | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Temple | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Temple | 55c | 18.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Temple | 60c | 17.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.