Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01f1c0dda6d666203674bba9138934d3572fb64fb91ebc2199531e54be3e667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,059$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.61 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 48c | 628$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.44 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 55c | 522.08$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.62 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 449.78$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 52c | 407.51$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 52c | 261.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 31c | 198.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 43c | 63.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 46c | 42.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 50c | 40.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…2940backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 71c | 15.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-08-31?No won
- Will Paris FC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.