TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers55c16,074$8,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,239.2638043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Marlins45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75015553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins45c8,999$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.5535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers57c6,058$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.581,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25043949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers55c4,718$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.422,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Tigers55c3,075$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.8273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Tigers57c2,568$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.1524253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins44c2,483$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.51,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Tigers55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.827758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins46c1,779$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.121,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers56c1,581$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.711,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins27c1,578$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.589,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins45c1,383$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.311,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Marlins45c1,005$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Marlins14c950.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins43c899.99$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3873,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers55c727$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.151,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers70c705.32$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.232,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Tigers55c690$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.517045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers76c687.84$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers56c666$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0451953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Marlins26c609.69$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1574418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins21c600$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Marlins38c550$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20938741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Tigers56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Tigers56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Tigers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259651%49 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers55c476$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.21,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Marlins14c445.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2627213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tigers72c445$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.612,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Marlins25c398.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Tigers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers56c352.91$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.286,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Tigers55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Marlins21c303.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.321847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Marlins45c234.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4495950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3713…14e8backed Marlins44c229.85$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Marlins45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc805…e5dbbacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0f…f1dcbacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…c2a7backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…fd57backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473f…7be5backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0819…daa2backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…798bbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865038%19 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4767…3838backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6679…ceb7backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb35d…27b8backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a04…dbe9backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ceb…489fbacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865044%22 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c0…10b0backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865040%20 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5274…4ce8backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cc…dc16backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…935dbacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61a…d19cbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0609…8fdebacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b46…f029backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6f…4119backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff1b…feaebacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c39…854bbacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…eda6backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865151%26 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a0…4623backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bc…b2c0backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d68…6d8abacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865052%26 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57b…da2ebacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54e…f109backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…4cedbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaecb…15b4backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865058%29 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…d3ecbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffb…e4d0backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…646cbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x282d…8af7backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8574…df83backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed34…278ebacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865044%22 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc72…0188backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2574…9e78backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fec…a7b4backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3e…07ebbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc711…092ebacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c3…5167backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc246…5addbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fb…6458backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865437%20 W · 34 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3eb0…9c5cbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1243…18cfbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdcd…8364backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dd…05fabacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…cd16backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ade…3223backed Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18fa…4a5ebacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5b…02fabacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb006…289fbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cd…5c0bbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0add…142bbacked Marlins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d6…b3a6backed Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.