Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc647b77b248fb934f32a8fe89f7c9f2e76cb99f36eb36769bc1f0f18499f14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 59c | 7,326$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 1,654$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.61 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 47c | 1,488$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.86 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 42c | 1,381$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed No | 57c | 1,000$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 516.07$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…462cbacked No | 56c | 358.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 69c | 277.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 76c | 263.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…714dbacked Yes | 53c | 225.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 218.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked No | 26c | 216$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…aa45backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed No | 32c | 145$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 28c | 131.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 87.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 55c | 74.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 43c | 72.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 74c | 68.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 57c | 52.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 56c | 47.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…266dbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…29c7backed Yes | 67c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-08-28?this page
- Will Dynamo Kyiv vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
- Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.