Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b86b3f21dcaf29595919479283a5690a84800a70f5d7135486addc4e08042cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 3,281$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.46 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 48c | 2,073$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 51c | 1,264$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…62ffbacked Over | 54c | 1,153$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…7e30backed Under | 48c | 1,139$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 46c | 1,116$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 50c | 970.6$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 961.39$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 753.56$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.85 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 707.52$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Over | 47c | 704.13$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 430.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.77 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 406.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 349.48$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 77c | 310.6$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 49c | 293.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 287.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 264.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 242.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 237$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 11c | 224$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 173.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 23c | 161.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 56c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 43c | 129.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 128.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Over | 49c | 100.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Under | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Over | 77c | 89.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 33c | 84.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 52c | 83.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 50c | 75.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 63.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 50c | 50.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Under | 51c | 48.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 45c | 40.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 39.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 51c | 38.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 62c | 36.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 51c | 31.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…3e67backed Under | 38c | 28.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 28.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 57c | 27.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 51c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 25.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.