Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2962df51613aeb1551574ecf05c2fb70949dac8c71dc5535ec78803ec8a0212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Haigang FCof Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, Shanghai Haigang FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff3c…f63fbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 897$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43e…0520backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 876$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…c4f9backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 870$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe469…c593backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…2f00backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1f…0a1cbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…53ecbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 860$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d03dbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…a3dbbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…7dd9backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…f954backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 859$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf895…344bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 855$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494d…59f6backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 845$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…bd33backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 845$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…91dabacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 839$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…198cbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 829$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…fef6backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 815$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…6d9ebacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 2c | 795$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 14c | 131.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.