Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2931432fd65959ebf0ec311b1397418afdc7a2646e1fcd3b00b2aad7f65f1475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 39c | 15,512$6,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,084.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 52c | 9,620$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.4 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 8,585$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.26 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 7,638$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.57 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 6,729$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.56 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 75c | 4,238$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.75 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 3,116$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.6 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 61c | 1,431$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.65 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 1,210$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 1,021$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.77 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 25c | 975$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 36c | 801.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 41c | 399.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 36c | 294.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 277.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 275.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 259.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 49c | 246.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 60c | 245.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 61c | 228.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 224.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 59c | 197.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 28c | 194.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 184.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 61c | 177.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 176.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 175.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 60c | 169.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Over | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 124.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 114.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 37c | 103.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 52c | 97.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 39c | 97.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 95.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Over | 53c | 94.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 41c | 88.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 82.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 69.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 63c | 63.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 46c | 62.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…3340backed Over | 39c | 61.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 60c | 61.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 50c | 54.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 35c | 54.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 46.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 26c | 46.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 59c | 36.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 69c | 33.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 56c | 32.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 77c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 36c | 29.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x923f…c431backed Under | 77c | 26.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 22.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 67c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.