Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcbde7abab35d3dd052a22688c9d15875d2354a55e7a50141353849ff2097d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 471.46$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 62c | 233.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 31c | 116$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 60c | 89.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41c | 77.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 61c | 46.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 63c | 38.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 61c | 36.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 61c | 36.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 61c | 36.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 60c | 35.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.