Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d5e88f32b5ec7e7166de0a7010e7d8821da041dabeb0b4b1e1f589b40b22817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 43c | 916.56$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 660$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 198.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 95.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 61c | 81.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 54c | 73.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 45c | 70.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 44c | 67.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 67.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 62.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 56.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked Under | 45c | 51.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 50.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 49.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 40.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 34c | 30.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 53c | 29.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.