Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c38bb0987a01bf67409fea1211844b415448a66ac9c262f2cf62eba8de7efff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 461.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 293.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 217.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 73c | 182.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 155.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 151.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Over | 15c | 136$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 128.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 123.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 112.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 48c | 105.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 15c | 104.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Over | 16c | 102.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 97.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 96.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 20c | 94.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 52c | 94.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 85.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 17c | 59.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 57.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 51c | 53.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 45.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 51c | 42.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 46c | 38.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 36.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 35c | 33.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 32.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 47c | 28.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 53c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 21.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 62c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.