Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb91fd8a9087220e91e72419db83f7481d9e0ca794db364e01bafa26388ab0944

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $183,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $187,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,735 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe881…19abbacked Over	0c	29,996$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	16c	19,999$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.86	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	10c	19,210$1,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,921	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	11c	11,019$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.04	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	18c	9,338$1,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,676.34	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	11c	4,995$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.39	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over	9c	2,052$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.71	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	10c	1,988$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.76	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over	12c	1,868$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.05	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	20c	1,269$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.98	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe153…a036backed Over	6c	1,200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x856e…a0f9backed Over	10c	1,071$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.09	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd8…af91backed Over	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	31%18 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over	10c	929.4$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.94	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	9c	899.93$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.99	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	9c	869.96$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.19	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	2c	741$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.82	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	9c	692.1$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.84	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	14c	644.05$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.17	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over	5c	639.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	52	9.6%5 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Over	9c	500.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.02	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over	18c	499.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	10c	310$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1435…7b52backed Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	98	29.6%29 W · 69 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Over	3c	297.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	252	21.4%54 W · 198 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4422…0b28backed Over	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Over	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	26.8%37 W · 101 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1e…0a03backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	2.8%2 W · 70 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	9cpaid	-96.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x470f…e804backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a38…068ebacked Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…c244backed Over	11c	199.36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over	10c	160$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	51	17.6%9 W · 42 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Over	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8694…2ae8backed Over	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc36a…f0f3backed Over	17c	116.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Over	16c	103.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	224	45.5%102 W · 122 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…abbabacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	103	28.2%29 W · 74 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	36.1%65 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a9…e29ebacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	27.8%22 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	120	20%24 W · 96 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…56a5backed Over	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	79c	70$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…1558backed Over	23c	47.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	238	66.8%159 W · 79 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5this page
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Scotland won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland won
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Scotland won
Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Scotland won
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Morocco won
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: Scotland (-3.5)Morocco won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event