Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde6e62a4401b974578ab06dc80380ff7a53b6fd621cef2c86b136698b828327e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 30c | 711.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 668.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 72c | 540$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 72c | 535.97$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 429.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Over | 30c | 349.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 327$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 71c | 295.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 71c | 257.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 74c | 208$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 72c | 202.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…2500backed Over | 28c | 194.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Over | 28c | 191.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Over | 28c | 191.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 153.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 72c | 129.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 127.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 103.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 31c | 72.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Under | 71c | 69.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 55.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…2923backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…d7e5backed Under | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf69…7699backed Under | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 74c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-3.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.