Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e3654c41055070ed1b87125524f2a277858c4de4a0b8b483c702e641951178b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 42c | 1,158$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.47 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 61c | 838.79$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.13 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 57c | 505.82$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…276abacked Under | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 60c | 407.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 39c | 286.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 40c | 256.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 223$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 62c | 206.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 61c | 135.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 49c | 103.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 285 | 44.6%127 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8898…4b81backed Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 43c | 95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 34c | 91.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 57c | 89.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 75.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Over | 40c | 74.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 58c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 42.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…ccebbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 60c | 33.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…bb89backed Over | 43c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Under | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-3.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.