TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c4,592$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Over19c2,587$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.538025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c2,196$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over36c1,252$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over19c1,074$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over33c759.79$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7910931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Over17c609.78$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.666331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Over36c599.65$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.878631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over18c325$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.516123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f62…1239backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509242.4%39 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under47c292.35$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9410137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Over48c232.86$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.57839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Over20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over18c210.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.964425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b12…38bfbacked Over52c194.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Over17c170$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299318.3%17 W · 76 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under47c162.79$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.288731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Over52c144.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1810019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d58…80b2backed Over37c135.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7914739.5%58 W · 89 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over39c116.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3424935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb6…797bbacked Over35c112.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409819.4%19 W · 79 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c37…0f64backed Over17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Over52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x419f…72b3backed Over21c85.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f09…2d71backed Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under47c70.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.438231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb563…888bbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf073…4c15backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45939%23 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272e…e55abacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea5…14d8backed Over52c49.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under48c42.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d3…df21backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5238…ba99backed Over52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615335.3%54 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.726344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under75c29.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4711253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over44c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.