Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a322fe5bca234a663c3ca89fe339d1f1851ab48f323404596452603e41e790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 8c | 14,023$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.87 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 10c | 11,656$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…cffebacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 9,568$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 9c | 5,138$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.45 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 10c | 1,255$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Under | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 9c | 1,066$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 839.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Under | 10c | 811.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 9c | 709.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 9c | 675.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 564.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 10c | 540$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff9…ca43backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 9c | 454.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf329…ea10backed Under | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 9c | 387.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 9c | 379.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 9c | 332.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 9c | 240$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Under | 10c | 205.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…1fd9backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Under | 9c | 199.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Under | 9c | 134.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…9ed6backed Under | 10c | 102.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5this page
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-3.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.