Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe16663ab11d758c8faf66d3d08f41e8e9823da1dca0fe2bd1e60b73857263d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moroccoof Scotland, Morocco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Scotland | 1c | 18,107$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Scotland | 1c | 17,282$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Scotland | 1c | 4,624$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Scotland | 1c | 4,243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed Scotland | 1c | 3,525$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Scotland | 5c | 2,340$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Scotland | 4c | 1,768$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Scotland | 5c | 1,750$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Scotland | 5c | 1,661$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Scotland | 4c | 1,575$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Scotland | 1c | 1,482$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Scotland | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Scotland | 3c | 1,001$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Scotland | 5c | 980$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Scotland | 2c | 831.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…9fd9backed Scotland | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Scotland | 4c | 766.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…09bebacked Scotland | 5c | 764.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Scotland | 3c | 630$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Scotland | 4c | 584$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…96ddbacked Scotland | 5c | 568.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Scotland | 4c | 552.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Scotland | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Scotland | 4c | 520$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Scotland | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Scotland | 5c | 426.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Scotland | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Scotland | 5c | 319.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Scotland | 4c | 272.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Scotland | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Scotland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Scotland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcf…a19bbacked Scotland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Scotland | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)this page
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-3.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.