Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5b883a8a96b497ef6a96184b0a31864a1bfe6b21822984503602356eb7c275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 2,239$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 52c | 1,025$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.83 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Under | 50c | 1,010$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.17 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under | 49c | 1,000$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.57 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 55c | 999.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.22 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 939.65$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 46c | 687.89$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.43 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Over | 54c | 560.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…9527backed Under | 48c | 416.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 342.1$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…03d4backed Over | 53c | 309.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 45c | 271.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…9526backed Under | 46c | 208.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…0d44backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 105 | 63.8%67 W · 38 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 159.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Over | 53c | 141.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 141.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 107.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Over | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 53c | 94.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…72b3backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c310backed Over | 54c | 90.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…45b4backed Over | 53c | 57.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…9d48backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 54.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +10.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c7…892cbacked Over | 52c | 38.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 48c | 36.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 48c | 32.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 47c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 47c | 24.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Scotland (-3.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.