Champions League · resolved market
NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeeb176be43c6424e8cc9836a66f4fb43101d15fc31b5eaad79e7d9a4fba025f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 67c | 30,000$20,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,968.06 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 6,363$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.59 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 26c | 6,177$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.92 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 5,992$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.35 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 77c | 5,828$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.54 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 7c | 5,300$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 3,436$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.68 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 39c | 2,763$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.72 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 26c | 1,618$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.72 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 26c | 1,616$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.19 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 25c | 1,024$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 100 | 21%21 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 971.75$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.66 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 48c | 816.2$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 25c | 710.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 692.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.11 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 75c | 596.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 382.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 35c | 368.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…882dbacked Under | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 25c | 148.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 77c | 137.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 27c | 100.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed Over | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 44c | 59.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 26c | 43.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 74c | 40.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 39c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed Under | 70c | 24.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 75c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5this page
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 4.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to AdvanceŠK Slovan Bratislava won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)ŠK Slovan Bratislava won
- Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)NK Celje won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.