Champions League · resolved market
NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6bc3469b0463ea9e7aca9ad9d12f9b915f8b9edbd1e404d4744624b4193ddeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 17c | 5,282$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.32 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 43c | 2,302$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 58c | 1,302$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.91 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,177$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.96 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 100 | 21%21 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 46c | 999.92$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 44c | 599.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 507.7$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 452.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 20c | 361.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 341.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 45c | 324.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 199.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 157.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 57c | 127.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…666abacked Yes | 57c | 85.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Yes | 57c | 81.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 72c | 67.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed No | 43c | 60.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 45c | 39.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…9c0bbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 42c | 30.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 45c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…b7d1backed Yes | 56c | 25.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 4.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5Under won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to AdvanceŠK Slovan Bratislava won
- NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)ŠK Slovan Bratislava won
- Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)NK Celje won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.