Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84f85e63aa566c130827d6bdde89bd98e27177a20d7c016e6e3c50c3bedc158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 65c | 20,000$12,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,014.32 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 12,064$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.19 | 965 | 42.9%414 W · 551 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Over | 60c | 2,666$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 4c | 2,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 2,062$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.68 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 2,029$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.16 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 36c | 1,845$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 1,627$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.62 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 64c | 1,566$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.61 | 671 | 47.8%321 W · 350 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…7fc8backed Under | 36c | 1,480$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 1,258$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.09 | 1,288 | 39.4%507 W · 781 L | -33.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 1,250$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 801 | 50.1%401 W · 400 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 1,250$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 882 | 50.1%442 W · 440 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 4c | 1,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 13c | 512.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 474.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Under | 8c | 396.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 35c | 267.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +14.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 877 | 60.5%531 W · 346 L | +92.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 191.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 143.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 227 | 53.7%122 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 35c | 123$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 76c | 112.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…9ac0backed Over | 66c | 106.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 66c | 78.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 795 | 40.5%322 W · 473 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 31c | 67.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 64c | 63.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 42c | 56.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 225 | 63.1%142 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…4ebcbacked Under | 36c | 43.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 40c | 42.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…4ab1backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 32c | 39.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Over | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 59c | 34.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,316 | 42.8%991 W · 1,325 L | -41.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 66c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +278.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: FC Groningen 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: FC Groningen O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-2.5)FC Groningen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.