Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3873f2d1cc8cc17b949ab8c360f9d66969e210bc3dc6aecb8017d83b7089d8b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 60c | 4,181$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 40c | 1,314$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.06 | 337 | 36.2%122 W · 215 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 997.62$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 1,144 | 50.7%580 W · 564 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 970.82$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.03 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 526.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 397.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 349.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 742 | 33.6%249 W · 493 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 59c | 336$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 41c | 330.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…0ab4backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 38c | 247$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | -17.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 109.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…362cbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 56.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 47.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 795 | 40.5%322 W · 473 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…c949backed Yes | 58c | 42.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Yes | 59c | 31.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 41c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: FC Groningen 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: FC Groningen O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-2.5)FC Groningen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.