Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd4824c84d1971a40ab3bac43e18cd7b8757a6a932a861006522d5b5d677fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 3,706$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.69 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 73c | 3,558$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 33c | 3,020$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Over | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 42.4%92 W · 125 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 1,681$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.63 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,495$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 1,304$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.72 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 1,229$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.13 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 76c | 1,229$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 16c | 498.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 1,288 | 39.4%507 W · 781 L | -33.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 655 | 50.1%328 W · 327 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 77c | 130.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 73c | 56.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 20c | 51.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 742 | 33.6%249 W · 493 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 48.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2,316 | 42.8%991 W · 1,325 L | -41.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 46.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…efe1backed Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 16.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 996 | 52.6%524 W · 472 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: FC Groningen 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: FC Groningen O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-2.5)FC Groningen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.