TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Ittihad Saudi Clubof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Ittihad Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7236…ea53backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club63c2,011$1,266 inWon+$745.0518353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbc…b5b5backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club50c1,939$968 inLost-$968.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club45c1,678$755 inLost-$754.771,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club50c1,067$534 inWon+$533.57263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90f…a443backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club78c700$546 inWon+$1541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club37c608$225 inLost-$224.9647155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club56c600$336 inWon+$26417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club50c571.42$286 inLost-$285.7174739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club53c443.86$234 inWon+$209.915,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club50c307.68$154 inLost-$153.849246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club37c278$102 inLost-$101.993446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club51c250$128 inWon+$122.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club37c236$87 inLost-$87.3216454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club70c220.12$154 inWon+$65.892,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club54c219.98$119 inWon+$101.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club49c202.36$100 inLost-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club52c146.42$77 inWon+$69.582,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club51c128.54$66 inLost-$65.5672144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club54c128$68 inWon+$59.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club46c109.7$50 inLost-$50.466349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club49c105$51 inWon+$53.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.0413051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club57c99.99$57 inWon+$42.9912951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club26c97.6$26 inLost-$25.5521449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club49c66.44$33 inLost-$32.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club37c61.75$23 inLost-$22.681,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club49c54$26 inLost-$26.461,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club72c52.99$38 inWon+$14.8432654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club50c50$25 inLost-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club37c47.62$18 inLost-$17.628440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club33c44.63$15 inLost-$14.621,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club50c40$20 inLost-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club57c40$23 inWon+$17.216255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club32c39.89$13 inLost-$12.7277056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club37c36.84$14 inLost-$13.6323347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club43c29.07$12 inLost-$12.54564.4%29 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club69c29$20 inWon+$8.9924061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club51c26.16$13 inWon+$12.821,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club60c24.03$14 inWon+$9.613557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club75c22$17 inWon+$5.558542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club52c20$10 inLost-$10.41,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club71c20$14 inWon+$5.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club57c20$11 inWon+$8.614953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bba…161abacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.