Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc022f498206b2225831aed4061d078ba21b6271961f2416b0640ef2c292d8010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 3,785$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.21 | 868 | 43%373 W · 495 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Under | 63c | 2,360$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 2,001$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.72 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 55c | 1,953$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.26 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 930.69$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.38 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 799.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 38c | 650$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 961 | 35.3%339 W · 622 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 634.39$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 618.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 36c | 528$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,066 | 41.7%445 W · 621 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 388.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 846 | 37.4%316 W · 530 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 43c | 252.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 229.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 43c | 224.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 46c | 176.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 45c | 164$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 195 | 41%80 W · 115 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Under | 64c | 162.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 151.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 227 | 53.7%122 W · 105 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 121.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 302 | 46.4%140 W · 162 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 115.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 438 | 26%114 W · 324 L | -34.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 43c | 104.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 62c | 104.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 35c | 68.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 64.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 785 | 55.7%437 W · 348 L | +38.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 42c | 55.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 315 | 49.8%157 W · 158 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 31.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 30.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 36c | 29.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 55c | 29.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Over | 48c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 24.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Al Ittihad Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Al Ittihad Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.