Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706e73d85f22c81936292fdb0225e47002b8c8ca39f4fe207b572137034b938f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 1,527$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.13 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 72c | 1,486$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.44 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 34c | 950$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 868.99$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.54 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 685$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Under | 66c | 633.33$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 619$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 585.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827c…ddcabacked Over | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 46c | 454.42$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 414.34$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 32c | 412.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 67c | 399.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 48c | 314.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Over | 32c | 247.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…ffe4backed Over | 29c | 209.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 7c | 154.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 21c | 118.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 109$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 86.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Under | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 69c | 44.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 36.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Over | 34c | 29.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 69c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 70c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5this page
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to AdvanceJagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.