Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x909fc1d5705f14be746fc74329f8802958b6dd5943b846c6d03772f92289a0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Iberia 1999of Jagiellonia Białystok, SK Iberia 1999
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 77c | 6,055$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.78 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Iberia 1999 | 78c | 3,067$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.68 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 1,430$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 20c | 923.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 24c | 567.58$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 76c | 485.61$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 13c | 447.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 156$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 22c | 147.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 27c | 139.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SK Iberia 1999 | 73c | 138$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 30c | 94.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed SK Iberia 1999 | 75c | 89.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 25c | 89.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed SK Iberia 1999 | 75c | 84.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed SK Iberia 1999 | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed SK Iberia 1999 | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed SK Iberia 1999 | 73c | 39.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed SK Iberia 1999 | 71c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked SK Iberia 1999 | 75c | 28.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)this page
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to AdvanceJagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.