Europa Conference League · resolved market

SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13ffba3e7180f32bc40c5a2b38f630ed564fcee1cc32f095cccbdde37f22e25

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,547 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	2c	3,125$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.15	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	56c	2,269$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999	414	42.3%175 W · 239 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under	42c	2,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.99	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over	58c	1,628$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.85	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	42c	1,540$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.77	1,290	49.1%633 W · 657 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	57c	1,453$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.33	1,219	36.3%442 W · 777 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Over	49c	1,370$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.6	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under	51c	1,106$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.16	145	61.4%89 W · 56 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under	42c	1,041$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.72	334	42.5%142 W · 192 L	-13.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	45c	1,029$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.27	1,200	47.4%569 W · 631 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	94	27.7%26 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	54c	961.36$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.45	1,895	38.7%734 W · 1,161 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	46c	864.85$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.02	3,247	42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9acc…9f44backed Over	56c	767.7$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.2	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	38c	657.89$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.89	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	42c	618.31$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.13	2,434	37.3%909 W · 1,525 L	-9.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over	57c	543.86$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.86	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under	6c	499.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	53c	475.47$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.67	2,738	40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	46c	437$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.98	384	31.5%121 W · 263 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	43c	234.56$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.86	772	48.8%377 W · 395 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	43c	221.07$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	1,034	50.8%525 W · 509 L	+16.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	109	56.9%62 W · 47 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	89	56.2%50 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	155	58.1%90 W · 65 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	47c	200$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under	47c	200$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under	43c	199.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Over	52c	198$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	45c	180$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.1	636	49.5%315 W · 321 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Over	57c	174.01$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.01	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	56c	128.25$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.02	2,795	34.8%973 W · 1,822 L	-86.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	57c	116$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.88	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over	53c	115.01$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.05	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	89	31.5%28 W · 61 L	-9.6wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	57c	94.91$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.55	760	37.4%284 W · 476 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	66cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under	44c	80$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	43c	78.74$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.25	277	37.9%105 W · 172 L	-17.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bf0…ffe4backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	44c	59.81$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	325	47.7%155 W · 170 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under	46c	57.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.54	153	45.1%69 W · 84 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	76c	52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.35	347	54.8%190 W · 157 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	42c	49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	749	39.4%295 W · 454 L	-23.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	52c	41.67$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	559	53.1%297 W · 262 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	46c	40.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under	44c	39$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-12.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	232	59.1%137 W · 95 L	-19.7wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-13%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	59c	33.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	43c	31.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	442	51.6%228 W · 214 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	891	53.4%476 W · 415 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	57c	28.07$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.07	270	47.4%128 W · 142 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	45c	26.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	632	49.1%310 W · 322 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	50c	24.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	110	56.4%62 W · 48 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	66c	22.9$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.79	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+9.9wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+63.1%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+4.7wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5this page
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5Over won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Over won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5Over won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5Over won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5Under won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5Under won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 5.5Under won
SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to AdvanceJagiellonia Białystok won
Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event