Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99f7be5ed2c5df9fe042dc1f3563cf959df4abf2e1b97d925a6d054200690f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 24,134$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,080.99 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 3,919$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 2,968$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.46 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 2,576$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.54 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,440$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 7c | 2,303$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 2,250$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 31c | 2,130$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 2,112$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.52 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 1,579$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.88 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 71c | 1,413$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.66 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 71c | 1,266$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.04 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 1,066$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.15 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 992$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.32 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 51c | 898.6$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.64 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Yes | 26c | 769.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 71c | 751$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 71c | 566.89$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.49 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 33c | 546$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.82 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 536.5$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 453.9$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.27 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 428.61$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 26c | 427.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 60c | 355.9$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 45c | 280$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 219$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 219$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 10c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 71c | 178$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 71c | 177.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 173$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 65c | 147$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 135.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 129.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 64c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 17c | 115.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 70c | 105.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 64c | 78.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 44c | 75.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…a901backed Yes | 77c | 67.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 27c | 66.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 66.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 59.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 58.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…999abacked Yes | 32c | 56.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 60c | 49.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 42.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 79c | 41.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Yes | 30c | 36.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 71c | 26.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 25.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 25.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 69c | 23.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…3cb0backed No | 71c | 20.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 64c | 20.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 78c | 19.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 64c | 19.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 69c | 15.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-17?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.