Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31de916ba8a34a28b55274dfb760f582e621dd52746c4afc5fea0ebb20b5e940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 29c | 8,438$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.02 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,796$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.1 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,895$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.65 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 71c | 1,870$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 1,701$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.96 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,493$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,382$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.38 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,341$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.4 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 73c | 970.99$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.74 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 8c | 832$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 691.89$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 8c | 599.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 71c | 553$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 77c | 480.38$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 471.54$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 447.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 29c | 421.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 23c | 357$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 319.6$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 21c | 221$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Yes | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 157.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 77c | 157.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…5c32backed No | 79c | 149.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Yes | 29c | 139.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 21c | 133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 37.5%110 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 26c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 89.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 89.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 72c | 82.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e1…4682backed Yes | 24c | 80.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 24c | 80.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 23c | 73.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 29c | 67.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 62.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…8623backed Yes | 23c | 54.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 24c | 52.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 76c | 52.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 26c | 42.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 38.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 31.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…b780backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 74c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.