Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb48e452c55151ef8cd6784d068b6d8e53ffe9571170f8b68f30005d3892bc5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbba2…24febacked No | 75c | 21,473$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 3,351$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.16 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 1,515$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.12 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 1,366$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.19 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 78c | 1,119$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 26c | 894$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 18c | 832$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 424.34$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 416.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 394.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 80c | 257.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 80c | 248$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 192.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 187.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 20c | 139.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 27c | 83.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed Yes | 33c | 77.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 66c | 64.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 63.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 20c | 58.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 74c | 57.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 60c | 48.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?this page
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.