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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed No53c15,796$8,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,371.886336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes46c14,454$6,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,841.5311457%65 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No52c10,455$5,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,436.66031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes48c8,333$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.337100%7 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2404564.4%29 W · 16 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes47c6,153$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.882751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes71c4,566$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.9633442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes76c4,212$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.4538431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Yes48c4,210$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c4,191$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.5677248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c3,759$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.963,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No55c3,603$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.687755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c3,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60072550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No30c2,851$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.8765943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No53c2,680$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.46033.3%20 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c2,622$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.7347244.9%212 W · 260 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes70c2,615$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.18336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes55c2,428$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.892,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No42c2,326$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.689738.1%37 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes47c2,315$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.034443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c2,224$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.661,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No54c2,200$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1886456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c2,004$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.881,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.998834.1%30 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No28c1,883$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.312,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No23c1,345$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed No57c1,030$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes47c1,027$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4310442.3%44 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No43c985.16$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.961,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No28c930$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.771,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No23c853.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.498648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No40c653.82$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8738855.4%215 W · 173 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No11c650.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8685142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked Yes74c552.06$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.542646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No53c512$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3632547.7%155 W · 170 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No3c499.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c469$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.262,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c465.31$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.951,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes74c447.46$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5113731.4%43 W · 94 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked No47c342.36$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes67c322$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.266939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c313.02$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.21,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes77c276.4$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2167756.3%381 W · 296 L+34.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No58c223.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c220.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.851,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No18c219.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7723245.3%105 W · 127 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes64c215.76$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.522237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Yes48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No53c210$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No58c206$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.481675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No35c182.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0154353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Yes47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes42c148.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed No53c146.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806056.7%34 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No40c132.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.361,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed No48c131.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.331050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes71c124.77$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.429852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes43c111.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.811752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed No46c107$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55265.4%34 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes59c90.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.273125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.341442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c83.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3214358%83 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed Yes63c82.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.421346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Yes49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No55c73.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.047458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Yes52c72.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes64c71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3483845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…082ebacked Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…2348backed No54c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed No54c64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.566558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes74c63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3810359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes45c60.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3163649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes49c59.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.730851%157 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66a…b156backed No40c59.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.112313%3 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe0a1…f80fbacked Yes45c58.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes47c54.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.038135.8%29 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.161030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes44c51.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8814749%72 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c8…7f69backed Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.084841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c45.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.319355.4%107 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No47c41.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.312951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes45c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7916033.8%54 W · 106 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes46c39.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1576037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Yes52c38.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c38.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1547342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes62c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5438151.2%195 W · 186 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes43c31.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2111049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Yes47c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf51…7cccbacked No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No52c29.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3712765.4%83 W · 44 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5d…241cbacked Yes47c27.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.