TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FK Crvena zvezdaof FK Crvena zvezda, FC Viktoria Plzeň
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,600 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Crvena zvezda41c1,938$795 inWon+$1,143.472,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked FC Viktoria Plzeň65c973.6$636 inLost-$636.243360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň65c799.99$520 inLost-$519.995545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FK Crvena zvezda29c546.87$159 inWon+$388.2827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed FC Viktoria Plzeň71c496.73$353 inLost-$352.6818252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FK Crvena zvezda62c303.89$187 inWon+$116.682,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Viktoria Plzeň68c179.99$121 inLost-$121.4947649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed FK Crvena zvezda34c171.29$58 inWon+$113.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FC Viktoria Plzeň12c108$13 inLost-$12.962,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FK Crvena zvezda54c103.94$56 inWon+$48.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed FC Viktoria Plzeň70c100$70 inLost-$706352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FC Viktoria Plzeň65c72.83$48 inLost-$47.571,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed FK Crvena zvezda36c52.83$19 inWon+$33.932437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň71c39.73$28 inLost-$28.213348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked FC Viktoria Plzeň68c37.58$26 inLost-$25.6238952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed FC Viktoria Plzeň40c34.51$14 inLost-$13.9632436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked FK Crvena zvezda31c32.31$10 inWon+$22.292544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň68c32$22 inLost-$21.6570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed FC Viktoria Plzeň68c23.34$16 inLost-$15.9923653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň70c20$14 inLost-$146552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…1e9fbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň71c14.9$11 inLost-$10.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.