Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fee32847024733e93feb189255c0e70801b50c24084b80491189b8c086fb0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf131…69cabacked Yes | 49c | 3,862$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 2,445$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 1,242$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.83 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 420.76$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 62c | 324.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 324.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 236.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 17c | 150.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 60c | 143$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc7…443fbacked Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 40c | 100.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 73.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 71.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 39c | 59.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…0ca4backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Yes | 63c | 47.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…93e2backed No | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 41.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 55c | 37.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 61c | 37.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…88b7backed Yes | 56c | 28.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 41c | 25.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 79c | 21.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: FC Viktoria Plzeň O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.