Mls · resolved market
Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a559b500f150662aa98b102175bb7d4233027dc5dac4d4733a1e07de4788d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 39c | 635.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 452.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 414.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 65c | 124.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 57c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed Over | 62c | 99.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 66c | 84.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked Over | 62c | 77.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 74.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 66c | 68.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 65c | 67.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 79cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 33.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 31.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 36c | 30.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 65c | 18.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 77c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.