CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e78314398ddf594f6f48bb62fd3e3b3aa5bf4e71bad3c51fb6bf9d0841b230c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked 9z | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed 3DMAX | 48c | 3,713$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.12 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 3DMAX | 49c | 1,680$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.2 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed 3DMAX | 49c | 1,477$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.53 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 9z | 60c | 1,049$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.45 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed 9z | 52c | 1,015$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.17 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked 9z | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed 9z | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed 3DMAX | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed 3DMAX | 37c | 534.01$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed 9z | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed 3DMAX | 53c | 259.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked 9z | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 3DMAX | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 611 | 38.1%233 W · 378 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 49c | 152.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed 3DMAX | 37c | 135.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed 3DMAX | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed 3DMAX | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed 3DMAX | 49c | 103.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed 9z | 50c | 103.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed 3DMAX | 49c | 101.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed 3DMAX | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked 9z | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…c758backed 3DMAX | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked 9z | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed 9z | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed 9z | 43c | 74.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked 3DMAX | 49c | 66.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 9z | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked 3DMAX | 47c | 62.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed 9z | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed 9z | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 9z | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 51c | 45.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed 9z | 52c | 45.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed 3DMAX | 50c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked 9z | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed 3DMAX | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 9z | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed 3DMAX | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.