CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62cfc41e3227e22c40cd958242de9a3b5d8bea4efd4f6b19674d94be9103458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports | 26c | 1,379$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 33c | 1,016$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Oxuji Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 466.91$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 337.84$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 326.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.73 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 286.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.41 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 255.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 250$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed Oxuji Esports | 19c | 240.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 212.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 178.91$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed Oxuji Esports | 56c | 177.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 144.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Oxuji Esports | 8c | 138$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Oxuji Esports | 33c | 130.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 110.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Oxuji Esports | 13c | 108.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…2676backed Oxuji Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Oxuji Esports | 31c | 96.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Oxuji Esports | 35c | 85.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 80.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Oxuji Esports | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Oxuji Esports | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 62.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 55.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Oxuji Esports | 36c | 45.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Oxuji Esports | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oxuji Esports | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group StageVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.