CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d0d4351e9523777969e3a87edff5fb7ee18321a533f6bc2ec644c6e39be048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof HAVU, against All authority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HAVU | 73c | 1,857$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.43 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed against All authority | 21c | 1,257$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed against All authority | 26c | 894.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HAVU | 73c | 880.54$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed against All authority | 7c | 824.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed against All authority | 28c | 712.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed against All authority | 27c | 616.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed against All authority | 27c | 535.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed against All authority | 22c | 366.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked against All authority | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed HAVU | 73c | 316.61$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed against All authority | 15c | 307.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HAVU | 72c | 228.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked against All authority | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed HAVU | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed against All authority | 26c | 199.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked against All authority | 17c | 191.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked against All authority | 20c | 172.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked HAVU | 75c | 132.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed against All authority | 27c | 103.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed HAVU | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed HAVU | 73c | 62.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked HAVU | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed against All authority | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed against All authority | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked HAVU | 75c | 42.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed HAVU | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…e392backed HAVU | 74c | 33.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed HAVU | 75c | 18.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 76c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked HAVU | 74c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…1c2dbacked HAVU | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs against All authority - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs against All authority - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.