TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune Eatersof BetBoom Team, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a09…f9f7backed Rune Eaters27c18,065$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,226.7456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BetBoom Team65c16,197$10,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,467.1271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters19c15,383$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,461.9331248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team72c15,299$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked BetBoom Team76c12,038$9,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,144.9495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Rune Eaters28c10,094$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,246.6327153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rune Eaters29c8,641$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,173.3319847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed BetBoom Team71c7,518$5,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,35743344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Rune Eaters30c6,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed BetBoom Team21c5,221$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe44…05d9backed Rune Eaters38c4,945$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Rune Eaters27c4,843$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Rune Eaters68c4,757$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.3851049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Rune Eaters28c4,281$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.3235951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed BetBoom Team68c4,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72053764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BetBoom Team54c3,909$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.291,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team37c3,897$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.051,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Rune Eaters29c3,793$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.0341351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed BetBoom Team17c3,563$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3929546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters25c3,293$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.6236248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters73c3,086$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.021,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Rune Eaters62c3,064$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.3148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team71c3,018$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.579859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters23c3,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters21c2,917$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.4347646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters16c2,375$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.681029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked BetBoom Team26c2,342$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.5613960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team51c2,189$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.592,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team36c2,171$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.651,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Rune Eaters30c2,106$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.2649455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Rune Eaters21c2,074$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.6869835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed BetBoom Team35c2,000$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70496245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Rune Eaters29c1,980$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.2741056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed BetBoom Team75c1,796$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3475438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Rune Eaters33c1,795$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.4648053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters36c1,646$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.3169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters67c1,642$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.641,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Rune Eaters29c1,591$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.625248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters30c1,524$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.0328347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BetBoom Team46c1,518$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed BetBoom Team3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters26c1,500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.9658744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed BetBoom Team71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014557.9%84 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Rune Eaters29c1,379$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.029350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Rune Eaters43c1,308$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.1926247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked BetBoom Team56c1,296$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72911535.7%41 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked BetBoom Team71c1,050$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.556542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed BetBoom Team52c1,041$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54016058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked BetBoom Team3c1,030$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.98538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Rune Eaters42c1,004$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.711,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Rune Eaters22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed BetBoom Team37c999.98$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked BetBoom Team69c999.97$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9859254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a6…03abbacked Rune Eaters63c996.25$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.826555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed BetBoom Team37c942.03$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.16440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Rune Eaters18c926.01$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.591,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Rune Eaters18c804.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.6970236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked BetBoom Team72c800$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57266848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24c…3f33backed BetBoom Team78c775.64$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…da4fbacked BetBoom Team19c770.88$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1467566.7%50 W · 25 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked BetBoom Team4c756.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.43141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters54c755.11$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2877458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed BetBoom Team38c719.06$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.412136.4%44 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BetBoom Team4c700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.56132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Rune Eaters58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9525752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed BetBoom Team60c699.99$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42351364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom Team35c668.77$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23455251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Rune Eaters26c640.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.9739550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed BetBoom Team50c618.73$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.367263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed Rune Eaters18c588.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.254223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Rune Eaters20c565$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4524537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed BetBoom Team53c554$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0613145%59 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba01…1a89backed Rune Eaters54c553.17$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.695244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team6c549.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3180443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked BetBoom Team78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6cf…d3f0backed BetBoom Team49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24517449.4%86 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked BetBoom Team34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BetBoom Team72c494.7$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8596645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fa…b50bbacked BetBoom Team10c473.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26237.1%23 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team70c454.12$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.611,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed BetBoom Team22c450.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed BetBoom Team27c439.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12067555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Rune Eaters72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.679365.6%61 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked BetBoom Team40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016328.8%47 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Rune Eaters28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28812452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c3…d67dbacked BetBoom Team29c400$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1177045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Rune Eaters55c392.44$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7391553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BetBoom Team69c369.13$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters70c368.38$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.281,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked BetBoom Team71c364.75$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9732548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Rune Eaters45c364.04$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5543049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbd…c385backed BetBoom Team28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022665%147 W · 79 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed BetBoom Team70c348$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaec6…3b01backed Rune Eaters30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.335545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters59c330.36$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3650850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed BetBoom Team79c320$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.853758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BetBoom Team35c314.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Rune Eaters49c310.06$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4650053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed BetBoom Team11c310$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.454422.7%10 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked BetBoom Team71c300$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21254659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.