CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23f15313de8f6e0e0022d8d706edfbc188f49697006b7398146ced6568385b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Misa Esports | 47c | 6,195$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Lilmix | 51c | 4,737$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.6 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Lilmix | 52c | 2,980$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.4 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 62c | 1,676$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 1,560$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.02 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 52c | 1,105$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 44c | 1,038$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Lilmix | 53c | 900$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Lilmix | 39c | 884.93$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lilmix | 36c | 804.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Misa Esports | 63c | 750$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Misa Esports | 61c | 708.22$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Lilmix | 63c | 639.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 38c | 558.4$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Misa Esports | 62c | 507.76$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 446.53$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Lilmix | 37c | 432.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 38c | 419.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lilmix | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Misa Esports | 54c | 361.81$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Lilmix | 38c | 353.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Lilmix | 39c | 330.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Lilmix | 38c | 329.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Misa Esports | 52c | 314.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…2becbacked Lilmix | 40c | 297.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Lilmix | 38c | 285.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Lilmix | 37c | 235.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Lilmix | 38c | 210.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Lilmix | 37c | 183.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lilmix | 39c | 180$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 48c | 179.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Lilmix | 38c | 177.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 163.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Misa Esports | 62c | 162.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…9d5ebacked Lilmix | 38c | 152.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Lilmix | 71c | 140.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Lilmix | 37c | 126.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 121.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Misa Esports | 62c | 120.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Misa Esports | 25c | 120.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Misa Esports | 58c | 108.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 100.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Misa Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lilmix | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Lilmix | 39c | 97.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports | 62c | 96.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…e392backed Misa Esports | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lilmix | 55c | 85.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Misa Esports | 54c | 80.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Lilmix | 39c | 79.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Lilmix | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 54c | 67.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Misa Esports | 61c | 67.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Misa Esports | 64c | 65.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Lilmix | 37c | 65.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lilmix | 44c | 59.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Lilmix | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Misa Esports | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Misa Esports | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…31cbbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 42.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Lilmix | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Lilmix | 57c | 42.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…760cbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 41.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 41.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…c370backed Misa Esports | 48c | 41.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Misa Esports | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Misa Esports | 39c | 36.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Lilmix | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…7031backed Lilmix | 70c | 35.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Misa Esports | 49c | 35.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Lilmix | 51c | 35.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…5f56backed Misa Esports | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…f273backed Lilmix | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Misa Esports | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Misa Esports | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lilmix | 55c | 28.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Misa Esports | 63c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Misa Esports | 59c | 24.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed Misa Esports | 48c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Lilmix | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked Lilmix | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Misa Esports | 68c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerLilmix won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.