CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0407ab915d5ea0fcab7ebb681a9814b56f6197d0f23e0ae644421ef3304c597c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked ENCE | 63c | 1,709$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.49 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ENCE | 52c | 1,653$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.45 | 1,184 | 48%568 W · 616 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked SPARTA | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 47c | 800$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked SPARTA | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked ENCE | 57c | 463.49$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.55 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked SPARTA | 36c | 461.04$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 353 | 40.2%142 W · 211 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 44c | 393.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed ENCE | 58c | 250$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked SPARTA | 44c | 228.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed SPARTA | 42c | 219.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed ENCE | 58c | 214.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 301 | 48.8%147 W · 154 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed SPARTA | 39c | 197.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 564 | 48.2%272 W · 292 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked ENCE | 58c | 176.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SPARTA | 37c | 160.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 529 | 52.7%279 W · 250 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked SPARTA | 37c | 160.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…c7a3backed ENCE | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ENCE | 47c | 149.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked SPARTA | 42c | 125.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 389 | 59.9%233 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed SPARTA | 36c | 121.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 373 | 38.6%144 W · 229 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed SPARTA | 37c | 119.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 391 | 39.1%153 W · 238 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ENCE | 54c | 119.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ENCE | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 2,262 | 47.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked SPARTA | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 240 | 54.2%130 W · 110 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ENCE | 59c | 96.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed SPARTA | 43c | 64.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 331 | 38.7%128 W · 203 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed SPARTA | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed SPARTA | 43c | 51.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ENCE | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed ENCE | 57c | 46.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed SPARTA | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked ENCE | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group CSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.