Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb1b9e5a3b6dc3d465b5242b288398b11fc30b96e4145d2ab561f064d418890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 67c | 10,744$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.07 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 33c | 6,100$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.08 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 68c | 2,419$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.44 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 33c | 1,489$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.76 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Over | 33c | 1,368$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 67c | 1,212$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.86 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 37c | 1,010$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 66c | 887.28$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.26 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 63c | 736.41$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.47 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 614.24$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 33c | 550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 33c | 270.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 60c | 250.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 34c | 229.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 33c | 211.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 37c | 192.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 31c | 159$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…db66backed Over | 53c | 130.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 44c | 122.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 37c | 101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 55c | 100.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 65c | 96.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 34c | 91.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 87.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 35c | 76.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…1337backed Over | 65c | 67.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 34c | 57.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 35c | 49.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73fd…a02abacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 36c | 39.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 63c | 23.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Vitality won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.