Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65a10fd7f57cb47ef838092d94170a14ff3f621eec3b9d804589e8b9da3183a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof Team Envy, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Evil Geniuses | 75c | 3,000$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.55 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Envy | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team Envy | 25c | 668.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Envy | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Team Envy | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Team Envy | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Evil Geniuses | 72c | 255.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Envy | 28c | 255.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Evil Geniuses | 74c | 208.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Envy | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Team Envy | 25c | 53.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Envy | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Evil Geniuses | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Team Envy | 25c | 40.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Evil Geniuses | 72c | 39.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Evil Geniuses | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.