Fifa International · resolved market
Manu Koné: 1+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf82b194628e100304608023afff944323bc21c6b24f8a6d414370eef71a318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefc6…e0dabacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…17dbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…5fefbacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…d520backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…1784backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…fa11backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e3…031ebacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…12cfbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 54c | 1,765$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.4 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…4561backed No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…1551backed Yes | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 51c | 939.14$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.27 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 50c | 892.65$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.65 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 47c | 536$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 445.43$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…e395backed Yes | 32c | 416.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 46c | 251$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 75c | 111.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 54.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 22c | 52.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 74c | 52.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 31c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed No | 46c | 37.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 45c | 35.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 50c | 34.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 68c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manu Koné: 1+ shotsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shotsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aymeric Laporte: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brice Samba: 3+ savesNo won
- Brice Samba: 4+ savesNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- David Raya: 3+ savesNo won
- David Raya: 4+ savesNo won
- David Raya: 5+ savesNo won
- Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 5+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.